Ipswich vs Manchester United: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Portman Road, Ipswich, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Manchester United the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Ipswich. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ipswich vs Manchester United?
Manchester United starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (2,220 vs 2,019).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ipswich have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Manchester United have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union Berlin(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Le Havre(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | AC Milan(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Ipswich win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Manchester United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2025 | Manchester United 3-2 Ipswich | Premier League |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Ipswich 1-1 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2015 | Manchester United 3-0 Ipswich | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Manchester United vs Ipswich on Feb 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ipswich score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester United score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Manchester United | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ipswich sit 7th in Premier League (3 points from 1 matches) and Manchester United sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ipswich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Manchester United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ipswich vs Manchester United?
- The Footlab model makes Manchester United the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Ipswich.
- Where and when is Ipswich vs Manchester United played?
- Ipswich vs Manchester United is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Portman Road, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.