Brighton vs Crystal Palace: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, East Sussex
The Footlab AI model makes Brighton the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Crystal Palace. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brighton wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
Brighton starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (2,328 vs 2,184).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brighton vs Crystal Palace
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brighton
4-2-3-1- 19C. Kostoulas
- 13P. Groß
- 25D. Gómez
- 29M. De Cuyper
- 26Y. Ayari
- 35M. Yalcouyé
- 21O. Boscagli
- 44L. Vušković
- 24F. Kadıoğlu
- 4P. Struijk
- 1B. Verbruggen
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1- 22J. Strand Larsen
- 3T. Mitchell
- 20A. Wharton
- 18D. Kamada
- 10Yeremy Pino
- 25A. Khalaili
- 23Q. Timber
- 26C. Richards
- 5A. Disasi
- 6J. Canvot
- 44W. Benítez
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 01:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brighton have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Crystal Palace have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 3-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Lech Poznan(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Brighton win, 2 draws, 3 Crystal Palace wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Brighton 0-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Crystal Palace 0-0 Brighton | Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Crystal Palace 2-1 Brighton | Premier League |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Brighton 1-3 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Brighton 4-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2023 | Crystal Palace 1-1 Brighton | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Brighton vs Crystal Palace on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Brighton score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Crystal Palace score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 2.3 | 1.1 | 8 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Crystal Palace | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brighton sit 3rd in Premier League (10 points from 5 matches) and Crystal Palace sit 15th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 10 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brighton vs Crystal Palace?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brighton the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Crystal Palace.
- Where and when is Brighton vs Crystal Palace played?
- Brighton vs Crystal Palace is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The American Express Community Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.