Exeter City vs Bristol Rovers: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 43Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)St James Park, Exeter, Devon
The Footlab AI model makes Exeter City the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Bristol Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Exeter City wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Exeter City vs Bristol Rovers?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Exeter City (1,799) and Bristol Rovers (1,762).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Exeter City vs Bristol Rovers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Exeter City
4-2-3-1- 10J. Gordon
- 16C. Cummins
- 31J. Doyle-Hayes
- 8T. Perry
- 20George Birch
- 25A. Scully
- 5J. Fitzwater
- 3L. Woodhouse
- 2L. Samuel
- 6J. Taylor
- 1J. Bycroft
Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1- 29F. Cavegn
- 6C. Mola
- 19E. Harrison
- 7S. Forde
- 24T. Leigh
- 21R. Smallwood
- 2T. James
- 4K. Balmer
- 17C. Kelly
- 14B. Purrington
- 1Brad Young
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Exeter City have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Bristol Rovers have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Exeter City wins, 0 draws, 2 Bristol Rovers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bristol Rovers 1-0 Exeter City | League Two |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Bristol Rovers 1-2 Exeter City | League One |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Exeter City 3-1 Bristol Rovers | League One |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Bristol Rovers 2-3 Exeter City | EFL Trophy |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Exeter City 0-1 Bristol Rovers | League One |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Bristol Rovers 0-1 Exeter City | League One |
Last archived meeting: Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Exeter City score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol Rovers score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exeter City | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Bristol Rovers | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Exeter City sit 14th in League Two (12 points from 10 matches) and Bristol Rovers sit 9th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
| 14 | Exeter City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
A question about Exeter City vs Bristol Rovers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Exeter City vs Bristol Rovers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Exeter City the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Bristol Rovers.
- Where and when is Exeter City vs Bristol Rovers played?
- Exeter City vs Bristol Rovers is played on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at St James Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.