Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Memorial Stadium, Bristol, Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Shrewsbury. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bristol Rovers wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,232 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Bristol Rovers (1,670) and Shrewsbury (1,624).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bristol Rovers
3-4-1-2- 29F. Cavegn
- 9J. Quigley
- 2T. James
- 6C. Mola
- 7S. Forde
- 22Keenan Gough
- 3J. Sparkes
- 5A. Kilgour
- 17C. Kelly
- 4K. Balmer
- 1Brad Young
Shrewsbury
3-4-1-2- 9G. Lloyd
- 13J. Davison
- 10T. Sang
- 11K. Berkoe
- 18K. M. Brown
- 2L. Hoole
- 7J. Turner-Cooke
- 6S. Stubbs
- 5W. Boyle
- 3J. Ruffels
- 1William Michael Brook
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 04:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol Rovers have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Shrewsbury have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Everton U21(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 3-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bristol Rovers wins, 2 draws, 1 Shrewsbury win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Shrewsbury 1-0 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Bristol Rovers 1-0 Shrewsbury | League Two |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Shrewsbury 0-3 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Shrewsbury 0-0 Bristol Rovers | League One |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Bristol Rovers 1-0 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Bristol Rovers 0-0 Shrewsbury | League One |
Last archived meeting: Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bristol Rovers score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Shrewsbury score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers | 1.0 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Shrewsbury | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bristol Rovers sit 17th in League Two (16 points from 14 matches) and Shrewsbury sit 15th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
A question about Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Shrewsbury.
- Where and when is Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury played?
- Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Memorial Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.