Gillingham vs Accrington ST: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Gillingham the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Accrington ST. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gillingham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gillingham vs Accrington ST?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Gillingham (1,779) and Accrington ST (1,753).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gillingham vs Accrington ST
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gillingham
3-4-3- 10Ronan Hale
- 24H. Waldock
- 11L. Sillah
- 16J. Brophy
- 22N. Freeman
- 14R. McKenzie
- 8A. Little
- 5A. Smith
- 26L. Dobbs
- 19O. Beckles
- 40R. Luthra
Accrington ST
3-1-4-2- 23T. Walton
- 39J. Woods
- 33D. Tutonda
- 38C. O'Brien
- 2D. Love
- 14Stefan Mols
- 10Alex Henderson
- 22J. Anderson
- 17D. Matthews
- 28S. Conneely
- 1L. Moulden
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gillingham have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Accrington ST have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Brighton U21(home) | 4-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | York(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Cambridge United(home) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sunderland U21(home) | 3-3 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gillingham wins, 2 draws, 1 Accrington ST win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Gillingham 2-0 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Accrington ST 1-1 Gillingham | League Two |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Accrington ST 1-1 Gillingham | League Two |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Gillingham 1-2 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Accrington ST 1-2 Gillingham | League Two |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Gillingham 1-0 Accrington ST | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Gillingham vs Accrington ST on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gillingham score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Accrington ST score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillingham | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Accrington ST | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gillingham sit 4th in League Two (16 points from 10 matches) and Accrington ST sit 15th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 16 |
| 15 | Accrington ST | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
A question about Gillingham vs Accrington ST?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gillingham vs Accrington ST?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gillingham the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Accrington ST.
- Where and when is Gillingham vs Accrington ST played?
- Gillingham vs Accrington ST is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Priestfield Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.