Rochdale vs Crewe: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Crewe. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rochdale wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rochdale vs Crewe?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Rochdale (1,909) and Crewe (1,861).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rochdale vs Crewe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rochdale
4-2-3-1- 39D. Brown
- 17B. Adeeko
- 8H. Gilmour
- 21Kane Taylor
- 45G. Middleton
- 7C. Hayes
- 3Kaiden Wilson
- 2C. Tasker
- 44A. Flint
- 13O. Adebayo-Rowling
- 1Nils Ramming
Crewe
4-2-3-1- 29A. Thibaut
- 10J. White
- 9J. March
- 11J. Tabiner
- 14J. Gibson
- 19O. Lunt
- 6L. Offord
- 2L. Billington
- 12J. Stephenson
- 4Kyle Ure
- 1T. Booth
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rochdale have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Crewe have 6, 8 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-5 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Liverpool U21(home) | 3-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Blackpool(away) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(home) | 4-1 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Rochdale wins, 4 draws, 2 Crewe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Crewe 1-1 Rochdale | League Two |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Rochdale 1-2 Crewe | League Two |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Crewe 1-1 Rochdale | League One |
| Jan 9, 2021 | Rochdale 3-3 Crewe | League One |
| Feb 16, 2016 | Rochdale 2-2 Crewe | League One |
| Feb 6, 2016 | Crewe 2-0 Rochdale | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Rochdale score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Crewe score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Crewe | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rochdale sit 10th in League Two (14 points from 10 matches) and Crewe sit 3rd (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 18 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 14 |
A question about Rochdale vs Crewe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rochdale vs Crewe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Crewe.
- Where and when is Rochdale vs Crewe played?
- Rochdale vs Crewe is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Crown Oil Arena, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.