Match

Chesterfield vs Port Vale: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield, Derbyshire

ChesterfieldPort Vale

The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Port Vale. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chesterfield wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,886 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chesterfield vs Port Vale?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Chesterfield (1,876) and Port Vale (1,861).

46%27%27%
Chesterfield winDrawPort Vale win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Chesterfield vs Port Vale

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Chesterfield

4-2-3-1
  1. 10L. Bonis
  1. 20G. McEachran
  2. 18L. Marsh
  3. 8R. Stirk
  4. 24D. Markanday
  5. 37J. Koroma
  1. 6J. Simpson
  2. 33R. Hutton
  3. 19L. Gordon
  4. 15A. Pond
  1. 23R. Boot

Port Vale

3-5-2
  1. 11O. Hernández
  2. 36M. Watters
  1. 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
  2. 3J. Headley
  3. 33G. Hall
  4. 10K. Dempsey
  5. 7G. Byers
  1. 25C. Humphreys
  2. 4J. Moon
  3. 2K. John
  1. 20M. Maroši

Computed on October 30, 2026 at 07:33 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesterfield have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Port Vale have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chesterfield
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Crewe(home)5-1League Two
Oct 20, 2026Colchester(home)1-1League Two
Oct 17, 2026Port Vale(away)0-1League Two
Oct 10, 2026Crawley Town(away)2-2League Two
Oct 3, 2026Tranmere(home)4-2League Two
Port Vale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 27, 2026Manchester City U21(home)5-0EFL Trophy
Oct 24, 2026York(away)0-2League Two
Oct 20, 2026Gillingham(away)1-1League Two
Oct 17, 2026Chesterfield(home)1-0League Two
Oct 10, 2026Grimsby(home)1-0League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Chesterfield wins, 2 draws, 4 Port Vale wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Port Vale 1-0 ChesterfieldLeague Two
Sep 22, 2026Chesterfield 1-1 Port ValeEFL Trophy
Jan 25, 2025Chesterfield 1-1 Port ValeLeague Two
Sep 14, 2024Port Vale 1-0 ChesterfieldLeague Two
Jul 31, 2021Chesterfield 0-1 Port ValeFriendlies Clubs
Mar 30, 2018Port Vale 2-1 ChesterfieldLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Port Vale vs Chesterfield on Oct 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chesterfield score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Port Vale score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chesterfield1.91.4211/158/15
Port Vale0.91.164/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chesterfield sit 7th in League Two (19 points from 13 matches) and Port Vale sit 23rd (12 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Chesterfield13544231719
23Port Vale1133561212

A question about Chesterfield vs Port Vale?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chesterfield vs Port Vale?
The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Port Vale.
Where and when is Chesterfield vs Port Vale played?
Chesterfield vs Port Vale is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at SMH Group Stadium, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chesterfield and Port Vale

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