Rotherham vs Fleetwood Town: prediction and stats
League TwoMatchday 25Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)AESSEAL New York Stadium, Rotherham, South Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Fleetwood Town the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Rotherham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fleetwood Town wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rotherham vs Fleetwood Town?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Rotherham (1,594) and Fleetwood Town (1,686).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rotherham vs Fleetwood Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rotherham
4-3-3- 23A. Nemane
- 10P. Mullin
- 24J. Buyabu
- 15Jayce Fitzgerald
- 4J. Austerfield
- 28Brandon Ashley Cover
- 12D. Hall
- 27D. Iorfa
- 5K. Ngwenya
- 2J. Rafferty
- 13J. Eyestone
Fleetwood Town
3-1-4-2- 19R. Coughlan
- 20A. Loupalo-Bi
- 4H. Neal
- 24Jake Thomas Batty
- 14L. McCann
- 10M. Helm
- 15A. Murphy
- 5F. Potter
- 6R. Bennett
- 26S. Rooney
- 1J. Lynch
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 02:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rotherham have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Fleetwood Town have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Newcastle United U21(home) | 0-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 2-4 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rotherham wins, 0 draws, 4 Fleetwood Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fleetwood Town 2-0 Rotherham | League Two |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Fleetwood Town 2-1 Rotherham | League Cup |
| Jul 7, 2022 | Rotherham 2-0 Fleetwood Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2022 | Fleetwood Town 0-2 Rotherham | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 15, 2022 | Fleetwood Town 1-0 Rotherham | League One |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Rotherham 2-4 Fleetwood Town | League One |
Last archived meeting: Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rotherham score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fleetwood Town score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotherham | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Fleetwood Town | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rotherham sit 22nd in League Two (12 points from 14 matches) and Fleetwood Town sit 16th (17 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | 12 |
A question about Rotherham vs Fleetwood Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rotherham vs Fleetwood Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fleetwood Town the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Rotherham.
- Where and when is Rotherham vs Fleetwood Town played?
- Rotherham vs Fleetwood Town is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at AESSEAL New York Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.