BUL vs Express: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Lugazi FC Stadium, Najjembe
The Footlab model makes BUL the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Express. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BUL vs Express?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate BUL (1,551) and Express (1,480).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BUL have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Express have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Entebbe UPPC(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| May 19, 2026 | Kitara(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 12, 2026 | Lugazi(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 8, 2026 | SC Villa(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 28, 2026 | NEC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Vipers(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 19, 2026 | Lugazi(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 12, 2026 | Kitara(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| May 8, 2026 | Buhimba Saints(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Mbarara City(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 BUL win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Express win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Express 0-2 BUL | Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2025 | BUL 0-0 Express | Premier League |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Express 0-2 BUL | Premier League |
| Nov 21, 2024 | BUL 1-1 Express | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2024 | BUL 2-0 Express | Premier League |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Express 1-1 BUL | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
BUL score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Express score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUL | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Express | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BUL sit 9th in Premier League (37 points from 30 matches) and Express sit 10th (37 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | BUL | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 33 | 37 |
| 10 | Express | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 31 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BUL vs Express?
- The Footlab model makes BUL the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 20% for Express.
- Where and when is BUL vs Express played?
- BUL vs Express is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Lugazi FC Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.