KCCA vs NEC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)MTN Omondi Stadium, Kampala
The Footlab model makes KCCA the favourite at 54%, against 29% for a draw and 17% for NEC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KCCA vs NEC?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate KCCA (1,671) and NEC (1,622).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KCCA have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; NEC have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Mbarara City(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| May 19, 2026 | URA(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | UPDF(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 7, 2026 | Maroons(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Vipers(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Calvary(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | SC Villa(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Kitara(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 28, 2026 | BUL(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Mbarara City(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 KCCA win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 NEC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | NEC 3-1 KCCA | Premier League |
| Dec 12, 2025 | KCCA 2-1 NEC | Premier League |
| Feb 13, 2025 | NEC 1-0 KCCA | Premier League |
| Nov 21, 2024 | KCCA 0-1 NEC | Premier League |
| Feb 28, 2024 | NEC 0-3 KCCA | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2023 | KCCA 0-2 NEC | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
KCCA score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; NEC score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCCA | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| NEC | 0.9 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KCCA sit 2nd in Premier League (62 points from 30 matches) and NEC sit 6th (51 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | KCCA | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46 | 22 | 62 |
| 6 | NEC | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31 | 22 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KCCA vs NEC?
- The Footlab model makes KCCA the favourite at 54%, against 29% for a draw and 17% for NEC.
- Where and when is KCCA vs NEC played?
- KCCA vs NEC is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at MTN Omondi Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.