SC Villa vs Kitara: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Betway Muteesa II Stadium, Kampala
The Footlab model makes SC Villa the favourite at 56%, against 28% for a draw and 16% for Kitara. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Villa vs Kitara?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate SC Villa (1,673) and Kitara (1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Villa have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Kitara have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | UPDF(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | NEC(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | Mbarara City(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| May 8, 2026 | BUL(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Kitara(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Police(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| May 19, 2026 | BUL(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 12, 2026 | Express(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | NEC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | SC Villa(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SC Villa win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Kitara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | Kitara 2-0 SC Villa | Premier League |
| Nov 6, 2025 | SC Villa 1-0 Kitara | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | SC Villa 0-0 Kitara | Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2025 | Kitara 1-0 SC Villa | Premier League |
| Feb 9, 2024 | Kitara 1-1 SC Villa | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2023 | SC Villa 1-2 Kitara | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
SC Villa score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kitara score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Villa | 1.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Kitara | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC Villa sit 3rd in Premier League (61 points from 30 matches) and Kitara sit 4th (56 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SC Villa | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47 | 17 | 61 |
| 4 | Kitara | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 22 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Villa vs Kitara?
- The Footlab model makes SC Villa the favourite at 56%, against 28% for a draw and 16% for Kitara.
- Where and when is SC Villa vs Kitara played?
- SC Villa vs Kitara is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Betway Muteesa II Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.