UPDF vs Kataka: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bombo Stadium, Bombo
The Footlab model makes UPDF the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Kataka. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UPDF vs Kataka?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UPDF have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Kataka have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | SC Villa(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 19, 2026 | Calvary(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | KCCA(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 7, 2026 | Entebbe UPPC(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Police(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | UPDF | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24 | 41 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UPDF vs Kataka?
- The Footlab model makes UPDF the favourite at 39%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Kataka.
- Where and when is UPDF vs Kataka played?
- UPDF vs Kataka is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bombo Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.