Bumprom vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Bumprom the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bumprom vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Bumprom (1,493) and FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk (1,459).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bumprom have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | BATE II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Uni Minsk(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Osipovichy(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lida(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Niva(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Slutsk(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Bumprom win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 0-2 Bumprom | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Bumprom 4-1 FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 1. Division |
| Apr 13, 2024 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 0-1 Bumprom | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk vs Bumprom on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bumprom score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bumprom | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 2.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bumprom sit 7th in 1. Division (34 points from 21 matches) and FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk sit 4th (38 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Bumprom | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 25 | 38 |
| 7 | Bumprom | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bumprom vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk?
- The Footlab model makes Bumprom the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk.
- Where and when is Bumprom vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk played?
- Bumprom vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.