Smorgon vs FC Slutsk: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Junatstva, Smorgon
The Footlab model makes FC Slutsk the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Smorgon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Smorgon vs FC Slutsk?
FC Slutsk starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,547 vs 1,431).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Smorgon have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; FC Slutsk have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(home) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | BATE II(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Uni Minsk(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Minsk II(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Osipovichy(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lida(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Niva(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Smorgon win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 FC Slutsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | FC Slutsk 1-1 Smorgon | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Smorgon 0-0 FC Slutsk | Premier League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | FC Slutsk 2-0 Smorgon | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2024 | FC Slutsk 0-0 Smorgon | Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2024 | Smorgon 4-1 FC Slutsk | Premier League |
| Sep 3, 2023 | FC Slutsk 3-3 Smorgon | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Smorgon score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Slutsk score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smorgon | 2.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Slutsk | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Smorgon sit 14th in 1. Division (23 points from 21 matches) and FC Slutsk sit 2nd (41 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Slutsk | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | 28 |
| 2 | FC Slutsk | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 41 |
| 14 | Smorgon | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | Smorgon | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Smorgon vs FC Slutsk?
- The Footlab model makes FC Slutsk the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Smorgon.
- Where and when is Smorgon vs FC Slutsk played?
- Smorgon vs FC Slutsk is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Junatstva, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.