Volna vs Dinamo Minsk II: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Valna, Pinsk
The Footlab model makes Volna the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Dinamo Minsk II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Volna vs Dinamo Minsk II?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Volna (1,432) and Dinamo Minsk II (1,369).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Volna have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Dinamo Minsk II have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | BATE II(away) | 3-5 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Uni Minsk(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gomel II(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bumprom(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Minsk II(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Osipovichy(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Lida(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Niva(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Volna win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Dinamo Minsk II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II 3-1 Volna | 1. Division |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Dinamo Minsk II 0-4 Volna | 1. Division |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Volna 1-1 Dinamo Minsk II | 1. Division |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Dinamo Minsk II 4-0 Volna | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2024 | Volna 1-2 Dinamo Minsk II | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Minsk II vs Volna on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Volna score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Minsk II score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volna | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Dinamo Minsk II | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Volna sit 8th in 1. Division (31 points from 21 matches) and Dinamo Minsk II sit 11th (25 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dinamo Minsk II | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 20 |
| 8 | Volna | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 37 | 31 |
| 8 | Volna | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
| 11 | Dinamo Minsk II | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Volna vs Dinamo Minsk II?
- The Footlab model makes Volna the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Dinamo Minsk II.
- Where and when is Volna vs Dinamo Minsk II played?
- Volna vs Dinamo Minsk II is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Valna, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.