Uni Minsk vs Shakhter Soligorsk: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Shakhter Soligorsk the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Uni Minsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uni Minsk vs Shakhter Soligorsk?
Shakhter Soligorsk starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,457 vs 1,354).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uni Minsk have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Shakhter Soligorsk have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gomel II(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Orsha(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Volna(away) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Smorgon(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bumprom(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4(away) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Niva(home) | 2-6 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Gomel II(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Orsha(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Uni Minsk win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Shakhter Soligorsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk 3-0 Uni Minsk | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Shakhter Soligorsk vs Uni Minsk on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Uni Minsk score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Shakhter Soligorsk score 1.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uni Minsk | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Shakhter Soligorsk | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uni Minsk sit 13th in 1. Division (24 points from 21 matches) and Shakhter Soligorsk sit 9th (29 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shakhter Soligorsk | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 13 | 19 |
| 9 | Shakhter Soligorsk | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 38 | 29 |
| 13 | Uni Minsk | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 27 | 24 |
| 13 | Uni Minsk | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uni Minsk vs Shakhter Soligorsk?
- The Footlab model makes Shakhter Soligorsk the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Uni Minsk.
- Where and when is Uni Minsk vs Shakhter Soligorsk played?
- Uni Minsk vs Shakhter Soligorsk is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.