Togo vs Burundi: result 1-0 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Kégué, Lomé
Full time
What was the result of Togo vs Burundi?
Togo won 1-0 on September 25, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 17′D. KarimTogo
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Togo win at 61%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Togo vs Burundi
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Togo
4-2-3-1- 10K. Denkey
- 11S. Zuberu
- 17D. Karim
- 13Komlavi Komi
- 21D. Dakonam
- 15K. Aziangbe
- 8Abdoul Sabourh Bode
- 5S. Nador
- 2K. Boma
- 19H. Koudossou
- 16M. Barcola
Burundi
4-3-3- 7J. Girumugisha
- 12B. Bimenyimana
- 10S. Ntibazonkiza
- 8Mokono Elie Eldhino
- 14Y. Ndayishimiye
- 6Abdoul Karim Mpawenimana
- 22C. Nduwarugira
- 15Omar Moussa
- 19F. Nsabiyumva
- 4A. Muderi
- 1J. Nahimana
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Togo have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Burundi have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Benin(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Central African Republic(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Niger(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Guinea(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Oct 13, 2025 | South Sudan(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2026 | Morocco(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Chad(home) | 4-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Chad(away) | 4-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Gabon(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Kenya(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Togo score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Burundi score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Togo | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Burundi | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 0/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Togo sit 3rd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (3 points from 2 matches) and Burundi sit 4th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Togo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Burundi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Togo vs Burundi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy