Ilkeston Town vs Bury: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)New Manor Ground, Ilkeston, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Ilkeston Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bury wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilkeston Town vs Bury?
Bury starts as the favourite with a 247-point Elo edge (1,938 vs 1,691).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ilkeston Town vs Bury
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ilkeston Town
4-3-3- OO. Brown-Hill
- ZZ. Goodson
- JJ. Watts
- JJack Thomas
- JJ. Reid
- BBilly Bennett
- JJ. Maguire
- KK. Fenton
- AA. Troke
- RRyan Wilson
- RR. Durrant
Bury
Not enough data to predict the Bury lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilkeston Town have 1 win, 1 draw and 13 defeats; Bury have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Avro(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(home) | 4-3 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Ilkeston Town wins, 0 draws, 1 Bury win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bury 7-0 Ilkeston Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Bury vs Ilkeston Town on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ilkeston Town score 0.6 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 2.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilkeston Town | 0.6 | 2.6 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Bury | 2.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilkeston Town sit 21st in Non League Premier - Northern (10 points from 15 matches) and Bury sit 12th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 19 |
| 21 | Ilkeston Town | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 34 | 10 |
A question about Ilkeston Town vs Bury?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilkeston Town vs Bury?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bury the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Ilkeston Town.
- Where and when is Ilkeston Town vs Bury played?
- Ilkeston Town vs Bury is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at New Manor Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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