Morecambe vs Chester: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 40Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mazuma Stadium, Morecambe, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Morecambe the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Chester. The most likely score is 1-1. If Morecambe wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,527 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Morecambe vs Chester?
On Elo ratings, Morecambe has 1,803 points and Chester 1,939.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Morecambe vs Chester
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Morecambe
Not enough data to predict the Morecambe lineup.
Chester
4-3-3- 9J. Hazel
- 11B. Waters
- 17C. Woods
- 12D. Ward
- 24C. Murphy
- 4D. Weeks
- 3Nathan Woodthorpe
- 5J. Griffin
- 33Samuel Reed
- 15Isaac Burgess
- 1Luke Hewitson
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 12:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morecambe have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Chester have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Southport(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lower Breck(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 1-3 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Morecambe win, 2 draws, 1 Chester win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Chester 0-1 Morecambe | National League - North |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Chester 2-0 Morecambe | FA Cup |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Morecambe 1-1 Chester | FA Cup |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Chester 1-1 Morecambe | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Morecambe score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morecambe | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Chester | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Morecambe sit 17th in National League - North (14 points from 11 matches) and Chester sit 4th (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chester | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 20 |
| 17 | Morecambe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
A question about Morecambe vs Chester?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Morecambe vs Chester?
- The Footlab AI model makes Morecambe the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Chester.
- Where and when is Morecambe vs Chester played?
- Morecambe vs Chester is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mazuma Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.