Radcliffe vs Chester: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Neuven Stadium, Radcliffe, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Radcliffe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Radcliffe vs Chester?
Chester starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,921 vs 1,701).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Radcliffe have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Chester have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Macclesfield(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bury(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Radcliffe win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Chester win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Chester 1-3 Radcliffe | National League - North |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Radcliffe 1-3 Chester | National League - North |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Radcliffe 0-3 Chester | National League - North |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Chester 2-0 Radcliffe | National League - North |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Radcliffe 1-2 Chester | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Radcliffe 3-1 Chester | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Radcliffe score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radcliffe | 1.1 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Chester | 1.3 | 0.3 | 11 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Radcliffe sit 21st in National League - North (3 points from 4 matches) and Chester sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chester | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 21 | Radcliffe | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Radcliffe vs Chester?
- The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Radcliffe.
- Where and when is Radcliffe vs Chester played?
- Radcliffe vs Chester is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Neuven Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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