Merthyr Town vs Worksop Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Penydarren Park, Merthyr Tydfil
The Footlab AI model makes Worksop Town the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Merthyr Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Worksop Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,745 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Merthyr Town vs Worksop Town?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Merthyr Town (1,828) and Worksop Town (1,905).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Merthyr Town vs Worksop Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Merthyr Town
Not enough data to predict the Merthyr Town lineup.
Worksop Town
Not enough data to predict the Worksop Town lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 01:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merthyr Town have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Worksop Town have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Marine(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 5-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Merthyr Town wins, 0 draws, 0 Worksop Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Worksop Town 3-5 Merthyr Town | National League - North |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Merthyr Town 2-0 Worksop Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Worksop Town vs Merthyr Town on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Merthyr Town score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Worksop Town score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merthyr Town | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Worksop Town | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merthyr Town sit 18th in National League - North (15 points from 13 matches) and Worksop Town sit 14th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Worksop Town | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 17 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
A question about Merthyr Town vs Worksop Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Merthyr Town vs Worksop Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Worksop Town the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Merthyr Town.
- Where and when is Merthyr Town vs Worksop Town played?
- Merthyr Town vs Worksop Town is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Penydarren Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.