Campos AA vs Serra Macaense: prediction and stats
Carioca B2Group Stage - 11Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Ângelo de Carvalho, Campos dos Goytacazes, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab AI model makes Serra Macaense the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Campos AA. The most likely score is 1-1. If Serra Macaense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,659 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Campos AA vs Serra Macaense?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Campos AA (1,424) and Serra Macaense (1,466).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Campos AA vs Serra Macaense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Campos AA
Not enough data to predict the Campos AA lineup.
Serra Macaense
Not enough data to predict the Serra Macaense lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Campos AA have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Serra Macaense have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cardoso Moreira(home) | 0-0 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rio de Janeiro(away) | 1-0 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Búzios(home) | 3-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Paduano(away) | 1-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | 7 de Abril(home) | 1-2 | Carioca B2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Barra Mansa(away) | 1-0 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | SE Belford Roxo(away) | 1-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Santa Cruz RJ(home) | 3-0 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Cardoso Moreira(away) | 3-2 | Carioca B2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rio de Janeiro(home) | 2-1 | Carioca B2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Campos AA win, 0 draws, 1 Serra Macaense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2020 | Serra Macaense 3-1 Campos AA | Carioca - 2 |
| Jun 1, 2019 | Campos AA 1-0 Serra Macaense | Carioca - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Serra Macaense vs Campos AA on Nov 4, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Campos AA score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Serra Macaense score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campos AA | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Serra Macaense | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Campos AA sit 7th in Carioca B2 (13 points from 9 matches) and Serra Macaense sit 3rd (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Serra Macaense | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 17 |
| 7 | Campos AA | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 13 |
A question about Campos AA vs Serra Macaense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Campos AA vs Serra Macaense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Serra Macaense the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Campos AA.
- Where and when is Campos AA vs Serra Macaense played?
- Campos AA vs Serra Macaense is played on November 1, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Ângelo de Carvalho, in the Carioca B2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.