Match

Pontevedra vs Racing Ferrol: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra

PontevedraRacing Ferrol

The Footlab AI model makes Racing Ferrol the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Pontevedra. The most likely score is 1-1. If Racing Ferrol wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pontevedra vs Racing Ferrol?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Pontevedra (1,968) and Racing Ferrol (1,906).

28%30%42%
Pontevedra winDrawRacing Ferrol win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Pontevedra vs Racing Ferrol

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Pontevedra

4-3-3
  1. 22A. Comparada Gonzalez
  2. 11Iñaki Elejalde
  3. 17Alberto Gil
  1. 10Y. Pino
  2. 6I. Ivorra
  3. 14L. Macias
  1. 16A. Vidorreta
  2. 5A. Perez
  3. 20Rui Ferreira
  4. 15D. Alba
  1. 1Raúl Marqueta

Racing Ferrol

4-3-3
  1. 10Dani Ojeda
  2. 9Unai Ropero
  3. 18E. Eto'o Pineda
  1. 6Fabio González
  2. 14Jesús Bernal
  3. 16Raúl Blanco
  1. 2Migue Leal
  2. 17Álvaro Ramón
  3. 4Germán Novoa
  4. 5Eric Monjonell
  1. 1Lucas Díaz

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:48 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontevedra have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Racing Ferrol have 5, 7 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pontevedra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Cacereño(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 11, 2026Mérida AD(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Racing Ferrol(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Ponferradina(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 18, 2026UD Logroñés(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Racing Ferrol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 10, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Pontevedra(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Lugo(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Barakaldo(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pontevedra win, 1 draw, 4 Racing Ferrol wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Racing Ferrol 2-0 PontevedraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026Racing Ferrol 0-0 PontevedraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Jan 3, 2026Pontevedra 2-1 Racing FerrolPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Jul 29, 2023Pontevedra 1-5 Racing FerrolFriendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2023Racing Ferrol 5-1 PontevedraFriendlies Clubs
Feb 19, 2023Racing Ferrol 2-0 PontevedraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Racing Ferrol vs Pontevedra on Oct 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pontevedra score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Ferrol score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pontevedra1.51.5310/1510/15
Racing Ferrol1.10.967/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pontevedra sit 11th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (11 points from 8 matches) and Racing Ferrol sit 3rd (16 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Racing Ferrol85129516
11Pontevedra8323101011

A question about Pontevedra vs Racing Ferrol?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pontevedra vs Racing Ferrol?
The Footlab AI model makes Racing Ferrol the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Pontevedra.
Where and when is Pontevedra vs Racing Ferrol played?
Pontevedra vs Racing Ferrol is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Pontevedra and Racing Ferrol

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