Match

Pontevedra vs Cacereño: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra

PontevedraCacereño

The Footlab AI model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Cacereño. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pontevedra wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pontevedra vs Cacereño?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Pontevedra (1,904) and Cacereño (1,867).

36%30%34%
Pontevedra winDrawCacereño win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Pontevedra vs Cacereño

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Pontevedra

4-3-3
  1. 22A. Comparada Gonzalez
  2. 11Iñaki Elejalde
  3. 17Alberto Gil
  1. 10Y. Pino
  2. 6I. Ivorra
  3. 14L. Macias
  1. 16A. Vidorreta
  2. 5A. Perez
  3. 2A. Argos
  4. 20Rui Ferreira
  1. 1Raúl Marqueta

Cacereño

4-3-3
  1. 18Juan Artola
  2. 16Sergio Navarro
  3. 9O. Chit
  1. 6N. Conesa
  2. 8Álvaro Gete
  3. 5Toño Calvo
  1. 22Adrián Expósito
  2. 17Sergio López
  3. 2I. Martinez
  4. 3Manolo Molina
  1. 1Diego Nieves

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontevedra have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Cacereño have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pontevedra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Racing Ferrol(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Ponferradina(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 18, 2026UD Logroñés(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 12, 2026Athletic Club II(home)1-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 5, 2026Arenas Getxo(home)4-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Cacereño
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026Mérida AD(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026UD Ourense(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Arenas Getxo(home)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 16, 2026Recreativo Huelva(away)1-2Copa Federacion
Sep 13, 2026Cultural Leonesa(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Pontevedra wins, 1 draw, 1 Cacereño win.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Cacereño 1-0 PontevedraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Aug 30, 2025Pontevedra 1-1 CacereñoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Cacereño vs Pontevedra on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pontevedra score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cacereño score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pontevedra1.71.449/1510/15
Cacereño1.60.776/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pontevedra sit 11th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (8 points from 6 matches) and Cacereño sit 4th (11 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Cacereño63216311
11Pontevedra6222888

A question about Pontevedra vs Cacereño?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pontevedra vs Cacereño?
The Footlab AI model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Cacereño.
Where and when is Pontevedra vs Cacereño played?
Pontevedra vs Cacereño is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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