Cadiz vs Mallorca: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla, Cádiz
The Footlab AI model makes Mallorca the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Cadiz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mallorca wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,370 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cadiz vs Mallorca?
Mallorca starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (2,054 vs 1,821).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cadiz vs Mallorca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cadiz
4-2-3-1- 21V. Kopotun
- 18Jandro Orellana
- 24Ibon Sánchez
- 16Antonio Cordero
- 28D. A. Zarate Hidalgo
- 5M. Doué
- 4Javi Castro
- 27J. Diaz Peregrina
- 6Manu Fernández
- 3Sergio Arribas
- 1David Gil
Mallorca
4-4-2- 18Fuentes
- 20Pablo Torre
- 7Álex Sala
- 33Adrian Liso
- 6Antonio Sánchez
- 19Josep Cerdà
- 21Raíllo
- 15John Nwankwo
- 24M. Valjent
- 5Alberto Moreno
- 1Arnau Tenas
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cadiz have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Mallorca have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Girona(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cadiz win, 3 draws, 2 Mallorca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Cadiz 1-1 Mallorca | La Liga |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Mallorca 1-1 Cadiz | La Liga |
| May 12, 2023 | Mallorca 1-0 Cadiz | La Liga |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Cadiz 2-0 Mallorca | La Liga |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Mallorca 2-1 Cadiz | La Liga |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Cadiz 1-1 Mallorca | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Cadiz score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mallorca score 1.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cadiz | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Mallorca | 1.7 | 0.6 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cadiz sit 20th in Segunda División (7 points from 9 matches) and Mallorca sit 4th (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mallorca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 17 |
| 20 | Cadiz | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Cadiz vs Mallorca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cadiz vs Mallorca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mallorca the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Cadiz.
- Where and when is Cadiz vs Mallorca played?
- Cadiz vs Mallorca is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.