Valladolid vs AD Ceuta FC: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 22Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, Valladolid
The Footlab model makes Valladolid the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for AD Ceuta FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valladolid vs AD Ceuta FC?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Valladolid (1,875) and AD Ceuta FC (1,938).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valladolid have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; AD Ceuta FC have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 1-5 | Segunda División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Malaga(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Valladolid win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 AD Ceuta FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC 0-3 Valladolid | Segunda División |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Valladolid 3-0 AD Ceuta FC | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Valladolid score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AD Ceuta FC score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| AD Ceuta FC | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valladolid sit 21st in Segunda División (0 points from 2 matches) and AD Ceuta FC sit 22nd (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Valladolid | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valladolid vs AD Ceuta FC?
- The Footlab model makes Valladolid the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for AD Ceuta FC.
- Where and when is Valladolid vs AD Ceuta FC played?
- Valladolid vs AD Ceuta FC is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.