Cagliari vs Frosinone: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Unipol Domus, Cagliari
The Footlab AI model makes Frosinone the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Cagliari. The most likely score is 1-1. If Frosinone wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,778 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cagliari vs Frosinone?
Frosinone starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (2,079 vs 1,967).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cagliari vs Frosinone
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cagliari
4-3-2-1- 31P. Mendy
- 8M. Adopo
- 4A. Romano
- 6H. Winks
- 70D. Maldini
- 39A. Fadera
- 15J. Rodríguez
- 2Zé Pedro
- 33A. Obert
- 14A. Deiola
- 1E. Caprile
Frosinone
4-2-3-1- 9A. Raimondo
- 14G. Calò
- 73P. Masini
- 10R. Schmid
- 17G. Kvernadze
- 7F. Ghedjemis
- 79G. Bracaglia
- 20A. Oyono
- 2G. Cittadini
- 3G. Calvani
- 22L. Palmisani
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 07:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cagliari have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Frosinone have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | AS Roma(away) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bologna(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Monza(away) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 4-4 | Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Como(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cagliari wins, 2 draws, 1 Frosinone win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2025 | Cagliari 4-1 Frosinone | Coppa Italia |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Frosinone 3-1 Cagliari | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Cagliari 4-3 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Cagliari 0-0 Frosinone | Serie B |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Frosinone 2-2 Cagliari | Serie B |
| Apr 20, 2019 | Cagliari 1-0 Frosinone | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Cagliari vs Frosinone on Sep 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Cagliari score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Frosinone score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 0.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Frosinone | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cagliari sit 9th in Serie A (13 points from 9 matches) and Frosinone sit 6th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 14 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 13 |
A question about Cagliari vs Frosinone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cagliari vs Frosinone?
- The Footlab AI model makes Frosinone the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Cagliari.
- Where and when is Cagliari vs Frosinone played?
- Cagliari vs Frosinone is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Unipol Domus, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.