Venezia vs Udinese: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venezia
The Footlab model makes Venezia the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Udinese. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Venezia vs Udinese?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Venezia (2,026) and Udinese (2,012).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Venezia have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Udinese have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lecce(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Modena(home) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Como(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Padova(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Venezia win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Udinese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Udinese 3-2 Venezia | Serie A |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Venezia 3-2 Udinese | Serie A |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Venezia 1-2 Udinese | Serie A |
| Aug 27, 2021 | Udinese 3-0 Venezia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Venezia score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Udinese score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia | 2.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Udinese | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Venezia sit 19th in Serie A (0 points from 1 matches) and Udinese sit 9th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Udinese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | Venezia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Venezia vs Udinese?
- The Footlab model makes Venezia the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Udinese.
- Where and when is Venezia vs Udinese played?
- Venezia vs Udinese is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.