AS Roma vs Sassuolo: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma
The Footlab AI model makes AS Roma the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Sassuolo. The most likely score is 1-1. If AS Roma wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AS Roma vs Sassuolo?
AS Roma starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (2,206 vs 2,003).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AS Roma vs Sassuolo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AS Roma
3-4-2-1- 21P. Dybala
- 4B. Cristante
- 43Wesley
- 17M. Koné
- 20N. Molina
- 77E. Lulli
- 61N. Pisilli
- 23G. Mancini
- 22Hermoso
- 26L. Balerdi
- 99M. Svilar
Sassuolo
4-3-3- 45A. Laurienté
- 10D. Berardi
- 94S. Esposito
- 18N. Matić
- 42K. Thorstvedt
- 50D. Bakola
- 3J. Doig
- 16F. Leysen
- 46S. Cinquegrano
- 21J. Idzes
- 49A. Murić
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Roma have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Sassuolo have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inter(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Torino(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 4-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Monza(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Frosinone(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Torino(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 AS Roma wins, 1 draw, 1 Sassuolo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | AS Roma 2-0 Sassuolo | Serie A |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Sassuolo 0-1 AS Roma | Serie A |
| Mar 17, 2024 | AS Roma 1-0 Sassuolo | Serie A |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Sassuolo 1-2 AS Roma | Serie A |
| Mar 12, 2023 | AS Roma 3-4 Sassuolo | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2022 | Sassuolo 1-1 AS Roma | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
AS Roma score 2.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sassuolo score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 2.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Sassuolo | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AS Roma sit 1st in Serie A (13 points from 5 matches) and Sassuolo sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
A question about AS Roma vs Sassuolo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AS Roma vs Sassuolo?
- The Footlab AI model makes AS Roma the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Sassuolo.
- Where and when is AS Roma vs Sassuolo played?
- AS Roma vs Sassuolo is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.