Parma vs Bologna: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
The Footlab AI model makes Bologna the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Parma. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bologna wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Parma vs Bologna?
Bologna starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,917).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Parma vs Bologna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Parma
3-4-2-1- 23N. Elphege
- 14E. Valeri
- 15E. Del Prato
- 19E. Touré
- 16M. Keita
- 4V. Sierro
- 80G. Fabbian
- 37M. Troilo
- 34Diego Carlos
- 29F. Carboni
- 40E. Corvi
Bologna
3-4-2-1- 91R. Piccoli
- 28N. Cambiaghi
- 19L. Ferguson
- 4T. Pobega
- 33Juan Miranda
- 20N. Zortea
- 7R. Orsolini
- 14T. Heggem
- 16N. Casale
- 3A. Theate
- 25M. Pessina
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parma have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Bologna have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Genoa(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Como(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Monza(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Torino(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Parma wins, 1 draw, 3 Bologna wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Bologna 0-1 Parma | Serie A |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Bologna 2-1 Parma | Coppa Italia |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Parma 1-3 Bologna | Serie A |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Parma 2-0 Bologna | Serie A |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Bologna 0-0 Parma | Serie A |
| Feb 7, 2021 | Parma 0-3 Bologna | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Parma score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bologna score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Bologna | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Parma sit 18th in Serie A (4 points from 6 matches) and Bologna sit 14th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 18 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
A question about Parma vs Bologna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Parma vs Bologna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bologna the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Parma.
- Where and when is Parma vs Bologna played?
- Parma vs Bologna is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ennio Tardini, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.