Cala Pozuelo vs Fuenlabrada: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Cala Pozuelo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cala Pozuelo vs Fuenlabrada?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Cala Pozuelo (1,707) and Fuenlabrada (1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cala Pozuelo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Fuenlabrada have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Alcorcón II(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 4, 2025 | Galapagar(away) | 5-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Torrejón(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Socuéllamos(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Cala Pozuelo score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fuenlabrada score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cala Pozuelo | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Fuenlabrada | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cala Pozuelo vs Fuenlabrada?
- The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Cala Pozuelo.
- Where and when is Cala Pozuelo vs Fuenlabrada played?
- Cala Pozuelo vs Fuenlabrada is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 28, 2027Las RozasvsUnión Adarve
- Mar 28, 2027Leganés IIvsAlcobendas Sport
- Mar 28, 2027Pozuelo AlarcónvsParla Escuela
- Mar 28, 2027Rayo Vallecano IIvsTorrejón
- Mar 28, 2027Trival ValderasvsMóstoles
- Mar 28, 2027Real AranjuezvsVillanueva Pardillo
- Mar 28, 2027GalapagarvsColonia Moscardó
- Mar 28, 2027RC AlcobendasvsSS Reyes II