Match

Rayo Vallecano II vs Torrejón: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, Madrid

Rayo Vallecano IITorrejón

The Footlab model makes Torrejón the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Rayo Vallecano II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rayo Vallecano II vs Torrejón?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Rayo Vallecano II (1,718) and Torrejón (1,789).

Rayo Vallecano II win32 %
Draw27 %
Torrejón win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Vallecano II have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Torrejón have 6, 7 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rayo Vallecano II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Socuéllamos(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026RSD Alcalá(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026Intercity(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 4, 2026Elche II(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Torrejón
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Las Rozas(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Las Rozas(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026AD Parla(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Alcorcón II(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Alcobendas Sport(home)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rayo Vallecano II win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Torrejón win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 8, 2025Rayo Vallecano II 3-2 TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 1, 2025Torrejón 1-1 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Apr 13, 2025Rayo Vallecano II 3-3 TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 1, 2024Torrejón 3-1 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 28, 2024Rayo Vallecano II 1-3 TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 17, 2023Torrejón 2-2 Rayo Vallecano IITercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Rayo Vallecano II vs Torrejón on Jun 8, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Rayo Vallecano II score 0.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Torrejón score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rayo Vallecano II0.62.316/1510/15
Torrejón1.71.5211/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Torrejón341798574660

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rayo Vallecano II vs Torrejón?
The Footlab model makes Torrejón the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Rayo Vallecano II.
Where and when is Rayo Vallecano II vs Torrejón played?
Rayo Vallecano II vs Torrejón is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Rayo Vallecano II and Torrejón

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