Las Rozas vs Unión Adarve: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, Las Rozas de Madrid
The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Unión Adarve. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Rozas vs Unión Adarve?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Las Rozas (1,784) and Unión Adarve (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Rozas have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Unión Adarve have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 31, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 24, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Torrejón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | Galapagar(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Racing Madrid(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Galapagar(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Villaverde-Boetticher(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Las Rozas win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Unión Adarve win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Las Rozas 0-2 Unión Adarve | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Unión Adarve 1-0 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Unión Adarve 3-3 Las Rozas | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Las Rozas vs Unión Adarve on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Las Rozas score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Rozas | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Unión Adarve | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Rozas sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (56 points from 34 matches) and Unión Adarve sit 6th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 56 |
| 6 | Unión Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 42 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Rozas vs Unión Adarve?
- The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Unión Adarve.
- Where and when is Las Rozas vs Unión Adarve played?
- Las Rozas vs Unión Adarve is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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