Match

Las Rozas vs Unión Adarve: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, Las Rozas de Madrid

Las RozasUnión Adarve

The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Unión Adarve. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Las Rozas vs Unión Adarve?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Las Rozas (1,784) and Unión Adarve (1,799).

Las Rozas win42 %
Draw27 %
Unión Adarve win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Rozas have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Unión Adarve have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Las Rozas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Trival Valderas(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026Torrejón(away)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Torrejón(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026Galapagar(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Unión Adarve
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Racing Madrid(home)5-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Las Rozas(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Galapagar(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Villaverde-Boetticher(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026A Madrid III(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Las Rozas win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Unión Adarve win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Las Rozas 0-2 Unión AdarveTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 4, 2026Unión Adarve 1-0 Las RozasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Aug 20, 2022Unión Adarve 3-3 Las RozasFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Las Rozas vs Unión Adarve on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Las Rozas score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Las Rozas1.71.558/159/15
Unión Adarve1.81.166/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Las Rozas sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (56 points from 34 matches) and Unión Adarve sit 6th (53 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Las Rozas3416810584256
6Unión Adarve3415811484253

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Las Rozas vs Unión Adarve?
The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Unión Adarve.
Where and when is Las Rozas vs Unión Adarve played?
Las Rozas vs Unión Adarve is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Las Rozas and Unión Adarve

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