Trival Valderas vs Móstoles: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Canaleja, Alcorcón
The Footlab AI model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Móstoles. The most likely score is 1-1. If Trival Valderas wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,748 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trival Valderas vs Móstoles?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Trival Valderas (1,844) and Móstoles (1,793).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Trival Valderas vs Móstoles
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Trival Valderas
Not enough data to predict the Trival Valderas lineup.
Móstoles
Not enough data to predict the Móstoles lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trival Valderas have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Móstoles have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Real Aranjuez(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pozuelo Alarcón(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Galapagar(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Unión Adarve(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Trival Valderas wins, 0 draws, 3 Móstoles wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Trival Valderas 1-0 Móstoles | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Móstoles 3-1 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Móstoles 3-1 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Trival Valderas 2-1 Móstoles | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Móstoles 1-0 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Trival Valderas 3-0 Móstoles | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Trival Valderas vs Móstoles on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trival Valderas score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Móstoles score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trival Valderas | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Móstoles | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trival Valderas sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (12 points from 7 matches) and Móstoles sit 1st (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Móstoles | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Trival Valderas | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
A question about Trival Valderas vs Móstoles?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trival Valderas vs Móstoles?
- The Footlab AI model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Móstoles.
- Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Móstoles played?
- Trival Valderas vs Móstoles is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 28, 2027GalapagarvsColonia Moscardó
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