Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Móstoles played?

Trival Valderas vs Móstoles is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Trival Valderas vs Móstoles: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Canaleja, Alcorcón

Trival Valderas

Móstoles

The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Móstoles. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Trival Valderas vs Móstoles?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Trival Valderas (1,833) and Móstoles (1,758).

Trival Valderas win51 %

Draw26 %

Móstoles win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trival Valderas have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Móstoles have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Trival Valderas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	La Nucía(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	La Nucía(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026	Las Rozas(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026	Leganés II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Móstoles
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	A Madrid III(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Villanueva Pardillo(home)	3-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026	Pozuelo Alarcón(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Leganés II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Trival Valderas(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Trival Valderas win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Móstoles win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	Trival Valderas 1-0 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 7, 2025	Móstoles 3-1 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 28, 2024	Móstoles 3-1 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 10, 2023	Trival Valderas 2-1 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 5, 2023	Móstoles 1-0 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 2, 2022	Trival Valderas 3-0 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Trival Valderas vs Móstoles on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Trival Valderas score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Móstoles score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Trival Valderas	1.5	0.7	7	7/15	5/15
Móstoles	1.1	1.5	0	10/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Trival Valderas sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (60 points from 34 matches) and Móstoles sit 7th (51 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Trival Valderas	34	18	6	10	50	36	60
7	Móstoles	34	14	9	11	51	45	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Trival Valderas vs Móstoles?: The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Móstoles.
Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Móstoles played?: Trival Valderas vs Móstoles is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.