Fuenlabrada vs Cala Pozuelo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fernando Torres, Fuenlabrada
The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Cala Pozuelo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fuenlabrada vs Cala Pozuelo?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Fuenlabrada (1,786) and Cala Pozuelo (1,703).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fuenlabrada have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Cala Pozuelo have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Socuéllamos(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Alcorcón II(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 4, 2025 | Galapagar(away) | 5-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Torrejón(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
How many goals should we expect?
Fuenlabrada score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cala Pozuelo score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Cala Pozuelo | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fuenlabrada vs Cala Pozuelo?
- The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Cala Pozuelo.
- Where and when is Fuenlabrada vs Cala Pozuelo played?
- Fuenlabrada vs Cala Pozuelo is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fernando Torres, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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