Las Rozas vs Pozuelo Alarcón: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, Las Rozas de Madrid
The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Pozuelo Alarcón. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Rozas vs Pozuelo Alarcón?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Las Rozas (1,784) and Pozuelo Alarcón (1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Rozas have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Pozuelo Alarcón have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 31, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 24, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Torrejón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | Galapagar(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Marchamalo(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Tres Cantos(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Carabanchel(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Móstoles(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | SS Reyes II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Las Rozas win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Pozuelo Alarcón win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Las Rozas 1-0 Pozuelo Alarcón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Pozuelo Alarcón 1-1 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 5, 2024 | Pozuelo Alarcón 2-2 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Las Rozas 3-1 Pozuelo Alarcón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Pozuelo Alarcón 0-1 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Las Rozas 1-2 Pozuelo Alarcón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Las Rozas vs Pozuelo Alarcón on Apr 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Las Rozas score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pozuelo Alarcón score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Rozas | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Pozuelo Alarcón | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Rozas sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (56 points from 34 matches) and Pozuelo Alarcón sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 56 |
| 9 | Pozuelo Alarcón | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40 | 33 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Rozas vs Pozuelo Alarcón?
- The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Pozuelo Alarcón.
- Where and when is Las Rozas vs Pozuelo Alarcón played?
- Las Rozas vs Pozuelo Alarcón is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026Leganés IIvsUnión Adarve
- Dec 6, 2026Rayo Vallecano IIvsParla Escuela
- Dec 6, 2026Trival ValderasvsAlcobendas Sport
- Dec 6, 2026Real AranjuezvsMóstoles
- Dec 6, 2026GalapagarvsTorrejón
- Dec 6, 2026Cala PozuelovsVillanueva Pardillo
- Dec 6, 2026SS Reyes IIvsColonia Moscardó
- Dec 6, 2026RC AlcobendasvsFuenlabrada