Match

Calamocha vs Guadalajara: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo De Fútbol Jumaya Calamocha, Calamocha

CalamochaGuadalajara

The Footlab model makes Calamocha the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Guadalajara. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Calamocha vs Guadalajara?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Calamocha (1,889) and Guadalajara (1,885).

Calamocha win46 %
Draw27 %
Guadalajara win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calamocha have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Guadalajara have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Calamocha
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Cariñena(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
May 3, 2026Robres(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Apr 26, 2026Huesca II(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Apr 19, 2026Cuarte(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Apr 12, 2026Illueca(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 17
Guadalajara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Marchamalo(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Real Madrid II(home)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Athletic Club II(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 9, 2026Arenteiro(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026Real Avilés(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Calamocha score 1.2 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guadalajara score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Calamocha1.20.3123/154/15
Guadalajara1.51.349/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2024-25 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Guadalajara342284602274

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Calamocha vs Guadalajara?
The Footlab model makes Calamocha the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Guadalajara.
Where and when is Calamocha vs Guadalajara played?
Calamocha vs Guadalajara is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo De Fútbol Jumaya Calamocha, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Calamocha and Guadalajara

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