Real Valladolid II vs RSD Alcalá: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo 1 Anexos del José Zorrilla hierba natural, Valladolid
The Footlab model makes Real Valladolid II the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for RSD Alcalá. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Valladolid II vs RSD Alcalá?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Real Valladolid II (1,891) and RSD Alcalá (1,880).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Valladolid II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; RSD Alcalá have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Valladolid II score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid II | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| RSD Alcalá | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | RSD Alcalá | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 42 | 39 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Valladolid II vs RSD Alcalá?
- The Footlab model makes Real Valladolid II the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for RSD Alcalá.
- Where and when is Real Valladolid II vs RSD Alcalá played?
- Real Valladolid II vs RSD Alcalá is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo 1 Anexos del José Zorrilla hierba natural, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.