Salamanca UDS vs Atlético Astorga: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 29Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Helmántico, Salamanca
The Footlab model makes Salamanca UDS the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Atlético Astorga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salamanca UDS vs Atlético Astorga?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Salamanca UDS (1,877) and Atlético Astorga (1,892).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salamanca UDS have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Atlético Astorga have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Lealtad(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | La Bañeza(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sarriana(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Salamanca UDS win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Atlético Astorga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Atlético Astorga 1-2 Salamanca UDS | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Salamanca UDS 2-0 Atlético Astorga | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Atlético Astorga 1-1 Salamanca UDS | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 26, 2024 | Salamanca UDS 0-0 Atlético Astorga | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 18, 2024 | Atlético Astorga 0-1 Salamanca UDS | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Salamanca UDS 2-0 Atlético Astorga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Astorga vs Salamanca UDS on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Salamanca UDS score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Astorga score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salamanca UDS | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Atlético Astorga | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salamanca UDS vs Atlético Astorga?
- The Footlab model makes Salamanca UDS the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Atlético Astorga.
- Where and when is Salamanca UDS vs Atlético Astorga played?
- Salamanca UDS vs Atlético Astorga is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Helmántico, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.