Carapebus vs Audax Rio: prediction and stats
Carioca - 2Regular Season - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Antonio Gomes Viana, Carapebus, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab AI model makes Carapebus the favourite at 34%, against 32% for a draw and 34% for Audax Rio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Carapebus wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,024 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carapebus vs Audax Rio?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Carapebus (1,335) and Audax Rio (1,370).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carapebus vs Audax Rio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carapebus
Not enough data to predict the Carapebus lineup.
Audax Rio
4-3-3- FFabinho Polhão
- RRaphael
- GGutinho
- PPedrinho
- JJeferson Carneiro
- 18Bruninho
- JJean
- JJoão Victor da Silva Dias
- RRafael Reis
- AAthyla
- YYan Rodrigues
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 10:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carapebus have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Audax Rio have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Goytacaz(home) | 0-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Serrano RJ(away) | 0-3 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Niteroiense(home) | 1-3 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Macaé(away) | 3-4 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | São Cristóvão RJ(home) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Niteroiense(away) | 1-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | São Cristóvão RJ(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Duque de Caxias(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Nova Cidade(home) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Petrópolis(away) | 2-3 | Carioca - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Carapebus score 0.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Audax Rio score 0.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carapebus | 0.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Audax Rio | 0.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carapebus sit 12th in Carioca - 2 (1 point from 7 matches) and Audax Rio sit 11th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Audax Rio | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| 12 | Carapebus | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 1 |
A question about Carapebus vs Audax Rio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carapebus vs Audax Rio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carapebus the favourite at 34%, against 32% for a draw and 34% for Audax Rio.
- Where and when is Carapebus vs Audax Rio played?
- Carapebus vs Audax Rio is played on October 31, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Antonio Gomes Viana, in the Carioca - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.