Nova Cidade vs Petrópolis: prediction and stats
Carioca - 2Regular Season - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Joaquim de Almeida Flores, Nilópolis, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab AI model makes Petrópolis the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Nova Cidade. The most likely score is 0-0. If Petrópolis wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nova Cidade vs Petrópolis?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Nova Cidade (1,432) and Petrópolis (1,508).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nova Cidade vs Petrópolis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nova Cidade
Not enough data to predict the Nova Cidade lineup.
Petrópolis
Not enough data to predict the Petrópolis lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nova Cidade have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Petrópolis have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Campo Grande(home) | 3-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Audax Rio(away) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Goytacaz(home) | 1-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Niteroiense(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | São Cristóvão RJ(home) | 2-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Artsul(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Campo Grande(away) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Audax Rio(home) | 3-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Goytacaz(away) | 2-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Niteroiense(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Nova Cidade wins, 0 draws, 1 Petrópolis win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Nova Cidade 0-1 Petrópolis | Carioca - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Nova Cidade vs Petrópolis on Oct 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nova Cidade score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Petrópolis score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nova Cidade | 0.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Petrópolis | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nova Cidade sit 10th in Carioca - 2 (5 points from 6 matches) and Petrópolis sit 5th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Petrópolis | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 10 | Nova Cidade | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Nova Cidade vs Petrópolis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nova Cidade vs Petrópolis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Petrópolis the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Nova Cidade.
- Where and when is Nova Cidade vs Petrópolis played?
- Nova Cidade vs Petrópolis is played on October 31, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Joaquim de Almeida Flores, in the Carioca - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.