Niteroiense vs Artsul: prediction and stats
Carioca - 2Regular Season - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Niteroiense the favourite at 43%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for Artsul. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Niteroiense vs Artsul?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Niteroiense (1,674) and Artsul (1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Niteroiense have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Artsul have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Paduano(home) | 5-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Duque de Caxias(home) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Friburguense(away) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Campo Grande(away) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Bonsucesso(home) | 2-3 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | São Cristóvão RJ(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Petrópolis(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Serrano RJ(home) | 1-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Carapebus(home) | 3-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Nova Cidade(away) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Niteroiense win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Artsul win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2025 | Artsul 2-2 Niteroiense | Carioca - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Artsul vs Niteroiense on Oct 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Niteroiense score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Artsul score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niteroiense | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Artsul | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Niteroiense sit 5th in Carioca - 2 (16 points from 11 matches) and Artsul sit 9th (13 points from 11 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Niteroiense | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 16 |
| 9 | Artsul | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Niteroiense vs Artsul?
- The Footlab model makes Niteroiense the favourite at 43%, against 32% for a draw and 25% for Artsul.
- Where and when is Niteroiense vs Artsul played?
- Niteroiense vs Artsul is played on October 31, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC), in the Carioca - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.