Cardiff Draconians vs Caerau (Ely): result 1-3 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
Full time
What was the result of Cardiff Draconians vs Caerau (Ely)?
Caerau (Ely) won 1-3 on September 26, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 3′L. HarlingCaerau (Ely)
- 50′L. HarlingCaerau (Ely)
- 89′666803Caerau (Ely)
- 90′598626Cardiff Draconians (pen.)
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Caerau (Ely) win at 52%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-2. Actual score: 1-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff Draconians have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Caerau (Ely) have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 22, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Swansea University(home) | 1-5 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Cardiff Draconians wins, 0 draws, 2 Caerau (Ely) wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | Caerau (Ely) 2-1 Cardiff Draconians | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Cardiff Draconians 0-1 Caerau (Ely) | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caerau (Ely) vs Cardiff Draconians on Jan 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cardiff Draconians score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Caerau (Ely) score 2.0 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff Draconians | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Caerau (Ely) | 2.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cardiff Draconians sit 13th in FAW Championship (9 points from 8 matches) and Caerau (Ely) sit 4th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caerau (Ely) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 19 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 9 |
A question about Cardiff Draconians vs Caerau (Ely)?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 25, 2026Baglan Dragons1-2Carmarthen Town
- Sep 25, 2026Afan Lido0-0Newport City
- Sep 25, 2026Caerphilly Athletic1-2Pontypridd Town
- Sep 25, 2026Aberystwyth Town0-0Swansea University
- Sep 26, 2026Llantwit Major2-0llanelli AFC
- Sep 26, 2026Pontardawe Town6-1Treowen Stars
- Sep 26, 2026Ynyshir Albions1-1Trethomas Bluebirds