Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town: result 1-2 and analysis
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 9Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, Port Talbot
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What was the result of Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town?
Carmarthen Town won 1-2 on September 25, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 45′573763Carmarthen Town
- 51′623822Carmarthen Town
- 65′674943Baglan Dragons
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Carmarthen Town win at 47%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baglan Dragons have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Carmarthen Town have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Newport City(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 28, 2026 | llanelli AFC(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Baglan Dragons wins, 4 draws, 2 Carmarthen Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Baglan Dragons 0-7 Carmarthen Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Carmarthen Town 0-0 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Baglan Dragons 1-1 Carmarthen Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Carmarthen Town 3-2 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 2-2 Carmarthen Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Carmarthen Town 0-0 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baglan Dragons score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Carmarthen Town score 2.7 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 0.7 | 1.9 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Carmarthen Town | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baglan Dragons sit 5th in FAW Championship (17 points from 11 matches) and Carmarthen Town sit 7th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 21 | 15 |
A question about Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 25, 2026Afan Lido0-0Newport City
- Sep 25, 2026Caerphilly Athletic1-2Pontypridd Town
- Sep 25, 2026Aberystwyth Town0-0Swansea University
- Sep 26, 2026Ynyshir Albions1-1Trethomas Bluebirds
- Sep 26, 2026Llantwit Major2-0llanelli AFC
- Sep 26, 2026Cardiff Draconians1-3Caerau (Ely)
- Sep 26, 2026Pontardawe Town6-1Treowen Stars