Match

Cardiff vs QPR: prediction and stats

ChampionshipRegular Season - 44Kick-off on April 21, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Cardiff City Stadium, Caerdydd

CardiffQPR

The Footlab AI model makes Cardiff the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for QPR. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cardiff wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cardiff vs QPR?

Cardiff starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (2,021 vs 1,920).

47%26%27%
Cardiff winDrawQPR win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cardiff vs QPR

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cardiff

4-2-3-1
  1. 9Y. Salech
  1. 18A. Robertson
  2. 11O. Tanner
  3. 8J. Moylan
  4. 27J. Colwill
  5. 45Cian Ashford
  1. 38P. Ng
  2. 3J. Bagan
  3. 4G. Osho
  4. 48D. Lawlor
  1. 1N. Trott

QPR

4-2-3-1
  1. 26Rayan Jawad Kolli
  1. 24N. Madsen
  2. 18G. Kamara
  3. 11P. Smyth
  4. 20H. Vale
  5. 17K. Poku
  1. 5R. Edwards
  2. 3J. Dunne
  3. 2K. Adamson
  4. 12B. Kemper
  1. 1P. Charles

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:06 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; QPR have 8, 6 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cardiff
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Watford(home)5-1Championship
Oct 10, 2026Blackburn(away)1-2Championship
Sep 19, 2026Charlton(home)3-1Championship
Sep 12, 2026Bolton(away)0-1Championship
Sep 8, 2026Stoke City(home)1-1Championship
QPR
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Derby(home)4-1Championship
Oct 9, 2026West Ham(away)1-1Championship
Sep 19, 2026Preston(home)2-2Championship
Sep 12, 2026West Brom(away)1-1Championship
Sep 9, 2026Charlton(away)0-0Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cardiff win, 2 draws, 3 QPR wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 2, 2026QPR 2-1 CardiffChampionship
Jul 23, 2025QPR 2-2 CardiffFriendlies Clubs
Apr 5, 2025QPR 0-0 CardiffChampionship
Nov 27, 2024Cardiff 0-2 QPRChampionship
Jan 1, 2024QPR 1-2 CardiffChampionship
Aug 12, 2023Cardiff 1-2 QPRChampionship

Last archived meeting: QPR vs Cardiff on Sep 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cardiff score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; QPR score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cardiff2.31.5013/1511/15
QPR2.00.9410/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cardiff sit 19th in Championship (10 points from 10 matches) and QPR sit 5th (17 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5QPR1045115917
19Cardiff10244161510

A question about Cardiff vs QPR?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cardiff vs QPR?
The Footlab AI model makes Cardiff the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for QPR.
Where and when is Cardiff vs QPR played?
Cardiff vs QPR is played on April 21, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Cardiff City Stadium, in the Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cardiff and QPR

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