Wrexham vs Millwall: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 44Kick-off on April 20, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)STōK Cae Ras, Wrecsam
The Footlab model makes Wrexham the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Millwall. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wrexham vs Millwall?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Wrexham (1,977) and Millwall (1,966).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wrexham have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Millwall have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Watford(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 0-1 | Premier League - Summer Series |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 0-1 | Premier League - Summer Series |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | QPR(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Antwerp(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Wrexham win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Millwall win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Wrexham 0-2 Millwall | Championship |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Millwall 0-2 Wrexham | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Wrexham score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Millwall score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrexham | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Millwall | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wrexham sit 14th in Championship (2 points from 2 matches) and Millwall sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wrexham vs Millwall?
- The Footlab model makes Wrexham the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Millwall.
- Where and when is Wrexham vs Millwall played?
- Wrexham vs Millwall is played on April 20, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at STōK Cae Ras, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.