Wolves vs West Ham: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 44Kick-off on April 20, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes Wolves the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for West Ham. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wolves vs West Ham?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Wolves (2,000) and West Ham (2,068).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wolves have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; West Ham have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Preston(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Magdeburg(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Wolves win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 West Ham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | West Ham 4-0 Wolves | Premier League |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Wolves 3-0 West Ham | Premier League |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Wolves 3-2 West Ham | League Cup |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Wolves 1-0 West Ham | Premier League |
| Dec 9, 2024 | West Ham 2-1 Wolves | Premier League |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Wolves 3-1 West Ham | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Wolves score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; West Ham score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| West Ham | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wolves sit 4th in Championship (4 points from 2 matches) and West Ham sit 17th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wolves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 17 | West Ham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wolves vs West Ham?
- The Footlab model makes Wolves the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for West Ham.
- Where and when is Wolves vs West Ham played?
- Wolves vs West Ham is played on April 20, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Molineux Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.