Bolton vs Sheffield Utd: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 44Kick-off on April 20, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
The Footlab AI model makes Bolton the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Sheffield Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bolton wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,985 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bolton vs Sheffield Utd?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Bolton (1,992) and Sheffield Utd (2,001).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bolton vs Sheffield Utd
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bolton
4-2-3-1- 10S. Dalby
- 8J. Sheehan
- 22Gaizka Larrazabal
- 11T. Gale
- 17A. Ito
- 21E. Erhahon
- 18E. Toal
- 14A. Famewo
- 5L. Brunt
- 27Luca Stephenson
- 31G. Bazunu
Sheffield Utd
4-4-2- 9T. Cannon
- 45P. Bamford
- 22B. Brereton
- 19T. Chong
- 42Sydie Peck
- 4O. Arblaster
- 5J. Tanganga
- 15L. Kitching
- 8H. Choudhury
- 3S. McCallum
- 1M. Cooper
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 02:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolton have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Sheffield Utd have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Southampton(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bolton win, 0 draws, 5 Sheffield Utd wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | Sheffield Utd 3-2 Bolton | Championship |
| Feb 2, 2019 | Sheffield Utd 2-0 Bolton | Championship |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Bolton 0-3 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Dec 30, 2017 | Sheffield Utd 0-1 Bolton | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2017 | Bolton 0-1 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Feb 25, 2017 | Sheffield Utd 2-0 Bolton | League One |
Last archived meeting: Sheffield Utd vs Bolton on Sep 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bolton score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sheffield Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Sheffield Utd | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bolton sit 15th in Championship (14 points from 11 matches) and Sheffield Utd sit 11th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sheffield Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 15 |
| 15 | Bolton | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 14 |
A question about Bolton vs Sheffield Utd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bolton vs Sheffield Utd?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bolton the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Sheffield Utd.
- Where and when is Bolton vs Sheffield Utd played?
- Bolton vs Sheffield Utd is played on April 20, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Toughsheet Community Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.