Carrarese vs Arezzo: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
The Footlab AI model makes Carrarese the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Arezzo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Carrarese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carrarese vs Arezzo?
On Elo ratings, Carrarese has 1,781 points and Arezzo 1,896.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carrarese vs Arezzo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carrarese
3-5-2- 9F. Abiuso
- 10T. Rubino
- 73J. Rouhi
- 18Nicolás Schiavi
- 77G. Parlanti
- 7N. Belloni
- 23M. Braunöder
- 6F. Oliana
- 13F. Ruggeri
- 33F. Reale
- 1S. Pizzignacco
Arezzo
4-3-3- 16Mattia Sala
- 10E. Pattarello
- 9A. Cerri
- 17A. Ioniţă
- 24L. Chierico
- 23M. Viviani
- 37S. Righetti
- 13M. Gilli
- 4M. Coppolaro
- 6A. Renzi
- 14A. Nunziante
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carrarese have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Arezzo have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Padova(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sudtirol(home) | 1-4 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 0-5 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Carrarese wins, 2 draws, 2 Arezzo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024 | Carrarese 2-3 Arezzo | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Arezzo 1-3 Carrarese | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Carrarese 2-2 Arezzo | Serie C - Girone A |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Carrarese 3-0 Arezzo | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 19, 2018 | Arezzo 2-2 Carrarese | Serie C - Girone A |
| May 5, 2018 | Carrarese 0-1 Arezzo | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Carrarese score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arezzo score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrarese | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Arezzo | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carrarese sit 17th in Serie B (4 points from 6 matches) and Arezzo sit 12th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Arezzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 7 |
| 17 | Carrarese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
A question about Carrarese vs Arezzo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carrarese vs Arezzo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carrarese the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Arezzo.
- Where and when is Carrarese vs Arezzo played?
- Carrarese vs Arezzo is played on October 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio dei Marmi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.