Tapachula vs H2O Purepechas: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula, Tapachula
The Footlab AI model makes Tapachula the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for H2O Purepechas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tapachula wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tapachula vs H2O Purepechas?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Tapachula (1,840) and H2O Purepechas (1,801).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tapachula vs H2O Purepechas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tapachula
Not enough data to predict the Tapachula lineup.
H2O Purepechas
Not enough data to predict the H2O Purepechas lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tapachula have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; H2O Purepechas have 1, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Montañeses(away) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chapulineros(home) | 2-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pioneros de Cancún(away) | 1-5 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inter Playa del Carmen(home) | 2-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Celaya(away) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(home) | 2-0 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Los Cabos United(home) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948(away) | 0-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(away) | 0-3 | Primera Premier |
How many goals should we expect?
Tapachula score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; H2O Purepechas score 0.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tapachula | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| H2O Purepechas | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1 | 1/6 | 1/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tapachula sit 17th in Primera Premier (3 points from 6 matches) and H2O Purepechas sit 14th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | H2O Purepechas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | Tapachula | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
A question about Tapachula vs H2O Purepechas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tapachula vs H2O Purepechas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tapachula the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for H2O Purepechas.
- Where and when is Tapachula vs H2O Purepechas played?
- Tapachula vs H2O Purepechas is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico de Tapachula, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026ChapulinerosvsTritons Vallarta
- Oct 24, 2026Racing de VeracruzvsLos Cabos United
- Oct 24, 2026Pioneros de CancúnvsZacatepec 1948
- Oct 24, 2026Deportiva VenadosvsTigres de Alica
- Oct 25, 2026Jaguares de ChiapasvsReboceros La Piedad
- Oct 25, 2026Inter Playa del CarmenvsIrapuato
- Oct 25, 2026CelayavsCordobés
- Oct 25, 2026MontañesesvsLobos ULMX